EURUSD Breakout Opportunities

The initial breakout above the bear channel top saw price running into selling pressure ahead of the 1.2176 level, taking the pair pack down into the channel. However, since finding support again, price has subsequently broken back to the topside, surpassing those initial highs. While EURUSD is currently held up at a test of the 1.2176 level, the market looks primed for a breakout towards the 1.2343 level next, offering long opportunities above the 1.2176 level.

Key Data to Focus on This Week

USD remains weak following a highly disappointing set of labour market data for April, released on Friday. This week, traders will be focusing on US CPI (Weds) and Retail Sales (Fri). Both readings have the potential to see the current USD rout deepen if forecasts are missed, helping lead EURUSD higher. On the other hand, if data surprised to the topside, EURUSD is likely to remain below the 1.2176 level for now. Away from that, focus will be on the continued performance of vaccinations within the eurozone, Numbers have been picking up steadily over the last month, helping lift sentiment. If this theme continues, EUR should continue to benefit heading into the ECB’s June meeting next month

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