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Fundamental Analysis

Price Component may be the Key Thing to Watch in Today’s ISM Report

Today, market participants’ focus is on the ISM's US non-manufacturing activity index. Services account for more than 70% of US employment, so activity in this sector is more closely correlated...

FOMO Friday: Nikkei Takes Off

There have been plenty of key developments across the markets this week with plenty of moves to focus on as we begin the final month of Q1. Chatting with traders ahead of the weekend, it seems the...

The Crude Chronicles - Episode 174

Oil Traders Cut LongsThe latest CFTC COT institutional positioning report, the first to be released since January 27, saw oil traders pairing back their upside exposure. Net longs were reduced from...

Signals of a Hotter US Inflation Pile Up, Causing Deeper Rout from Fixed Income

Yields on 10-year bonds hit over 4% for the first time since November last year, after the ISM data came out on Wednesday. The key takeaway from the report was the signal of a sharp shift in the price...

EU Inflation Surprises Prompt Re-Pricing of the EU Interest Rate Curve, Lifts EUR

Financial markets face a difficult choice between two narratives: a soft landing in key economies after a period of high inflation (thanks to the restart of China's economy) and signs of a...

China Factory Data Surges Higher in February

China Data Rebounds FirmlyThe latest data out of China overnight has painted an encouraging picture of the economic recovery underway there since the government abandoned its zero covid policy at the...

EURUSD bounce may fizzle out soon as price breaks through key bearish channel

US Orders for durable goods - one of the key components of consumption, which is a decent proxy of households’ expectations of future incomes, posted decent gain in January. The headline reading...

EURUSD breakout of 1.05 level may prompt strong bullish response

On Monday, the market sees a classic relief rally after sell-off on Friday, triggered by the surprise in the Core PCE. The news led to sharp reassessment of Fed rate path which hit risk assets and...

Precious Metals Monday 27-02-20223

Metals Sell-Off Pauses... But For How Long?Both gold and silver have seen a rather muted start to the week with the metals each roughly trading around their respective opening prices after seeing...