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Daily Market Outlook, September 12, 2025 Patrick Munnelly, Partner: Market Strategy, Tickmill GroupMunnelly’s Macro Minute… Asian stock markets saw gains, with MSCI's regional index nearing a record high, following US inflation and jobless claims reports that ... Daily Market Outlook, September 12, 2025 Patrick Munnelly, Partner: Market Strategy, Tickmill GroupMunnelly’s Macro Minute… Asian stock markets saw ga
US CPI In Focus TodayBTC is starting to grind higher again through the middle of the week. The futures market rose firmly yesterday, buoyed by better risk appetite as traders reacted to weaker-than-forecast US PPI data. The drop in producer prices has fuelled some ... US CPI In Focus TodayBTC is starting to grind higher again through the middle of the week. The futures market rose firmly yesterday, buoyed by better
US CPI DueThe US Dollar is on watch today as traders prepare to receive the latest US CPI report this afternoon. Yesterday, the August PPI release was in dovish territory with both headline and core PPI at -0.1%, down from 0.7% prior and well below the 0.3% the mar... US CPI DueThe US Dollar is on watch today as traders prepare to receive the latest US CPI report this afternoon. Yesterday, the August PPI release was
TitleUSDCHF H4 I Potential bullish breakout forming TypeBullish breakoutPreference: The price is reacting off the pivot at 0.7971, a pullback resistance. A breakout at this level could lead the price toward the 1st resistance at 0.8031, a pullback resistance that i... TitleUSDCHF H4 I Potential bullish breakout forming TypeBullish breakoutPreference: The price is reacting off the pivot at 0.7971, a pullback resistan
FX option implied volatility is currently experiencing a decline, reaching cycle lows. This trend reflects a genuine lack of realized and expected volatility within major currency pairs. Macro uncertainty appears to be contained, and the tight ranges observed in sp... FX option implied volatility is currently experiencing a decline, reaching cycle lows. This trend reflects a genuine lack of realized and expected vol
TitleNZDUSD H4 I Bullish bounce from key support levelTypeBullish bounce Preference:The price is falling towards the pivot at 0.5914, which is a pullback support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. A bounce from this level could lead the price toward ... TitleNZDUSD H4 I Bullish bounce from key support levelTypeBullish bounce Preference:The price is falling towards the pivot at 0.5914, which is a pullb
TitleUSOUSD H1 | Signs of bullish momentum emerging Type Bullish bouncePreference:The price is falling towards the pivot at 63.59, which is an overlap support that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement. A bounce from this level could lead the price toward the 1... TitleUSOUSD H1 | Signs of bullish momentum emerging Type Bullish bouncePreference:The price is falling towards the pivot at 63.59, which is an overlap
Title USDJPY H1 I Bullish bounce off 61.8% Fibonacci supportTypeBullish bouncePreference:The price is falling toward the pivot at 146.84, a pullback support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.. A bounce at this level could lead the price toward the 1s... Title USDJPY H1 I Bullish bounce off 61.8% Fibonacci supportTypeBullish bouncePreference:The price is falling toward the pivot at 146.84, a pullback s
Equities Index Skew remains notably steep due to elevated positioning and net exposure relative to the past year, necessitating downside hedging—particularly in MegaCap Tech and Mag-X. This comes amid swirling market risks tied to policy implications for both the c... Equities Index Skew remains notably steep due to elevated positioning and net exposure relative to the past year, necessitating downside hedging—parti
September ECB MeetingPrice action in EURUSD has been relatively unexciting recently, however this could be set to change today with two key events to monitor. First, the ECB will meet for its September rates setting meeting. No further easing is forecast today and ... September ECB MeetingPrice action in EURUSD has been relatively unexciting recently, however this could be set to change today with two key events to

Fundamental Analysis

CAD Rampage Continues - EURCAD Tests Key Support

 Oil Rally Driving CAD HigherThe Canadian Dollar has quickly become one of the best performers across the G10FX space in recent weeks. The rebound in oil prices has been a major driver of the shift...

Bitcoin Under Pressure As Fed Outlook Shifts

BTC Held Down by USDBitcoin bulls still can’t catch a break as we move into the end of Q3. Following a rally over the last fortnight, BTC prices have once again turned lower, capped by local...

Crude Capped As US Yields Hit 07/08 Levels

Crude Rally Causing ConcernThe rally in oil prices has been one of the standout market developments over Q3. Following a muted H1, crude prices were driven firmly higher over summer in response to a...

GBP Outlook Shifts Lower Following BOE Pause

BOE Shift Slams PoundGBP remains the weakest among the G10 FX bloc as we start the new week. Sentiment in the Pound has undergone a significant shift in recent weeks with GBP now the worst performer...

USDJPY Remains Bullish As Ueda Reaffirms Policy Stance

JPY in FocusThe Japanese Yen continues to weaken across early European trading on Monday. The continued decline of the Yen is once again stoking intervention speculation. With USDJPY now trading well...

Tesla Stock Plunges Amidst Risk-Off Moves

USD Strength Weighs on TeslaShares in Tesla are trading lower ahead of the open today with the stock now down more than 13% from September highs. Sentiment has weakened recently in line with the broad...

Turbulence in US Treasury Bonds Sends Ripples Across Markets

The new week has kicked off with an unexpected twist for US long-term Treasury bond holders. Amidst a fresh sell-off on Monday, yields on 10-year Treasury bonds surged past 4.5%, setting a new high....

GBP Sold Heavily As BOE Pauses Tightening

BOE Catches Market Off-GuardGBP continues to trade sharply lower on Friday following the latest BOE rate decision. The bank opted to keep rates on hold yesterday, pausing a 15-month tightening cycle...

Crude Rallies on Russia Export Ban Announcement

Oil Turning Higher AgainFollowing a brief correction lower from YTD highs, crude oil prices are turning higher again into the end of the week. The move comes on the back of the news that Russia has...