REAL TIME NEWS
The demand for the USD had initially surged due to risk aversion at the beginning of the week, but signs of this demand began to diminish as traders prepared for the critical U.S. jobs report set to be released on Friday. As a result, traders took action to cover t... The demand for the USD had initially surged due to risk aversion at the beginning of the week, but signs of this demand began to diminish as traders p
TitleGBPUSD H1 I Price rebounds from 50% Fibonacci supportTypeBullish bouncePreference: The price is falling towards the pivot at 1.3393, a pullback support that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement. A bounce at this level could lead the price toward the 1st r... TitleGBPUSD H1 I Price rebounds from 50% Fibonacci supportTypeBullish bouncePreference: The price is falling towards the pivot at 1.3393, a pullback s
Goldman Sachs: NFP Preview From GS Research: We estimate that nonfarm payrolls increased by 60k in August, falling short of the consensus expectation of 75k. - We anticipate the unemployment rate rose slightly to 4.3% (rounded from 4.248% in July), reflecting a gra... Goldman Sachs: NFP Preview From GS Research: We estimate that nonfarm payrolls increased by 60k in August, falling short of the consensus expectation
Daily Market Outlook, September 5, 2025 Patrick Munnelly, Partner: Market Strategy, Tickmill GroupMunnelly’s Macro Minute…A surge in Wall Street stocks extended into Asia, supported by further signs of a cooling labour market that heightened expectations for a Fede... Daily Market Outlook, September 5, 2025 Patrick Munnelly, Partner: Market Strategy, Tickmill GroupMunnelly’s Macro Minute…A surge in Wall Street stock
TitleUSDCAD H1 I Bearish reversal for the LoonieTypeBearish reversal Preference:The price is reacting off the pivot at 1.3831, which is a pullback resistance.. A reversal from this level could lead the price toward the 1st support at 1.3787, a pullback support that... TitleUSDCAD H1 I Bearish reversal for the LoonieTypeBearish reversal Preference:The price is reacting off the pivot at 1.3831, which is a pullback res
TitleUSOUSD H1 | Downtrend momentum likely to continue Type Bearish dropPreference:The price is rising towards the pivot at 64.14, which is a pullback resistance. A reversal from this level could lead the price toward the 1st support at 62.58, a pullback support.. ... TitleUSOUSD H1 | Downtrend momentum likely to continue Type Bearish dropPreference:The price is rising towards the pivot at 64.14, which is a pullback
SP500 LDN TRADING UPDATE 5/9/25WEEKLY & DAILY LEVELS***QUOTING ES1! CASH US500 EQUIVALENT LEVELS SUBTRACT ~10 POINTS***WEEKLY BULL BEAR ZONE 6420/10WEEKLY RANGE RES 6554 SUP 6392DAILY BULL BEAR ZONE 6510/00DAILY RANGE RES 6572 SUP 64522 SIGMA RES 6633 SUP 6392V... SP500 LDN TRADING UPDATE 5/9/25WEEKLY & DAILY LEVELS***QUOTING ES1! CASH US500 EQUIVALENT LEVELS SUBTRACT ~10 POINTS***WEEKLY BULL BEAR ZONE 6420/
Title NZDUSD H1 I Bearish reversal at pullback resistanceTypeBearish reversalPreference:The price is rising towards the pivot at 0.5852, a pullback resistance that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. A reversal at this level could lead the price toward the... Title NZDUSD H1 I Bearish reversal at pullback resistanceTypeBearish reversalPreference:The price is rising towards the pivot at 0.5852, a pullback re
FTSE 100 FINISH LINEUK stocks saw a slight increase on Thursday, driven by advancements in consumer staples and utility shares, as investors evaluated corporate reports. Miners of precious metals declined as they mirrored the drop in gold prices, with Fresnillo dow... FTSE 100 FINISH LINEUK stocks saw a slight increase on Thursday, driven by advancements in consumer staples and utility shares, as investors evaluated
TitleEURUSD H1 I Bullish reversal at major supportTypeBullish bounce Preference:The price is falling towards the pivot at 1.1655, which is an overlap support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. A bounce from this level could lead the price toward the ... TitleEURUSD H1 I Bullish reversal at major supportTypeBullish bounce Preference:The price is falling towards the pivot at 1.1655, which is an overlap

Investment Bank Outlook

Institutional Insights: Nomura Equity Sales Desk Views

Nomura Cross-Asset: THE HUMAN VVIX, OR "SWIMMING WITH PIGS"The McElligott family’s spring break trip to the Bahamas coincided with “Liberation Day” last Wednesday, marking our departure from...

Institutional Insights: Goldman Sachs FX Focus

FX in Focus Loss of US Exceptionalism Strengthens Case for FX-Hedging US EquitiesThe erosion of US exceptionalism and increased recession risk suggest a shift in hedging strategy. Recently,...

Institutional insights: Credit Agricole FX Weekly 040/04/25

A USD crisis?The recent sharp decline in the USD outlook can be attributed to several factors: (1) market concerns that President Donald Trump’s combination of protectionist policies, immigration...

Institutional insights: Goldman Sachs Trading Desk First Take On Tariffs

WORSE THAN EXPECTED FICC and Equities Our desk is currently observing significant long selling in tech stocks and aggressive hedge fund (HF) shorting in macro products. S&P 500 futures have...

Institutional Insights: Nomura - Playing The Post Tariff Pain Trade

Institutional Insights: Nomura – The Possible Post Tariff Pain Trade PlaybookAccording to Nomura's flow guru McElligot - The market seems to be signalling a clear expectation of lower equity...

Institutional Insights: SocGen FX View USD 65trn nervous dollars

FX View USD65trn nervous dollarsNo clarity ahead of ‘Freedom Day,’ but USD remains capped.The sheer volume of foreign holdings in US assets (approximately $65 trillion at last count) and concerns...

Institutional Insights: Goldman Sachs Global FX Trader 31/03/31

Global FX Trader Drawbacks of the ClawbacksUSD: The Drawbacks of the Clawbacks Our analysis, based on price movements and client discussions, suggests that markets perceive tariffs as less enduring...

Institutional Insights: BofA FX Quant Insight Month-end USD retracement

FX Quant Insight Month-end USD retracementKey Takeaways: - Option flow and CARS models indicate a bullish outlook for the USD, with time zone dynamics suggesting further USD upside during US trading...

The FTSE Finish Line: March 27 - 2025

The FTSE Finish Line: March 27 - 2025Patrick Munnelly, Partner: Market Strategy, Tickmill GroupBritish shares fell sharply on Thursday, with luxury carmaker Aston Martin plunging to a record low,...