Type:
Bearish Momentum
Key Levels:
Resistance: 235.2
Pivot: 225.25
Support: 211. 40
Preferred Case:
On the H1, with price moving below the ichimoku indicator and along the descending trendline, we have a bearish bias that price will drop from our pivot at 225.25 in line with the 23.6% fibonacci retracement and overlap resistance to the 1st support at 211. 40 in line with the 161.80% fibonacci extension and swing low support.
Alternative Scenario:
Alternatively, price may break the pivot structure and rise to the 1st resistance at 235.2 in line with the swing high resistance, 100% fibonacci projection and 78.6% fibonacci retracement .
Fundamentals:
Since both countries, Russia and Ukraine, are major exporter of agriculture goods and their persistent war will lead to a shortage of agricultural goods and give us a bullish bias for coffee .
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Desmond Leong runs an award-winning research firm (The Technical Analyst finalists 2018/19/20 for Best FX and Equity Research) advising banks, brokers and hedge funds. Backed by a team of CFA, CMT, CFTe accredited traders, he takes on the market daily using a combination of technical and fundamental analysis.