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Fundamental Analysis

Fed Signals Increasing Policy Flexibility, Euro Takes Dovish Clues from Persistent Inflation

US equities rose, and the near end of the yield curve fell following the Fed meeting (2-year Notes 3.1% -> 2.99%), as the Fed rhetoric began to shift from high inflation to a potential economic...

The Crude Chronicles - Episode 146

Oil Traders Increase Longs The latest CFTC COT institutional positioning report shows that oil traders increased their net-long positions last week for first time in a month. Overall upside bets were...

Preview of the FOMC Meeting: Hints on Interest Rate Path in 4Q Could be the Key Thing to Watch

Greenback index continues to consolidate in a tight range on Wednesday in the run-up to the FOMC meeting. The range has been forming for about a week and indicates short-term equilibrium in USD supply...

Downside USD Risks Into FOMC?

USD Off Highs Ahead of FOMCAhead of the conclusion of the Fed’s two-day FOMC meeting later, the question traders are grappling with is whether the Dollar has room to run higher here? The Dollar Index...

EU Gas Supply’s Theme Overshadows ECB in Driving EURUSD Short-Term Moves

Safety plays prevail in FX, equity and bond markets on Tuesday, as evidenced by lower prices for risk assets, a strengthening USD and increased demand for long-term bonds. Reports about Russia gas...

Despite Dollar Correction the Risk of the EURUSD Retesting Parity is High

The Fed week is unlikely to be as turbulent as the last week which featured the ECB meeting as the risk of surprising policy decisions at Wednesday meeting appears to be low. Chances of a...

Precious Metals Monday 25-07-2022

Gold & Silver Up Off Last Week's Lows - FOMC in FocusGold and silver prices are seeing a quiet start to the new week. Both metals enjoyed better demand across recent days with a strong recovery...

Soft data on German Economy Points to Elevated Recession Risks

European equities ended the week on a positive note despite higher-than-expected interest rate hike from the European Central Bank and disappointing survey data on activity in German manufacturing and...

ECB Fails to Surprise the Euro with a Hawkish Turn as Growth Risks are in Focus

The EURUSD bounce on the surprising 50 bp rate hike from the ECB proved to be short-lived indicating that investors probably prefer to focus on fundamentals, other than the rate differential with the...